Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000370 0.000415 0.000465 0.000522 0.000587 0.000659 0.000745
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000289 0.000354 0.000431 0.000530 0.000654 0.000805 0.001005
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000228 0.000298 0.000386 0.000507 0.000671 0.000885 0.001192
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000197 0.000269 0.000367 0.000510 0.000714 0.001001 0.001438
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000179 0.000257 0.000366 0.000533 0.000785 0.001160 0.001768
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000157 0.000232 0.000344 0.000521 0.000803 0.001241 0.001990
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000135 0.000207 0.000315 0.000496 0.000793 0.001276 0.002142
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000124 0.000196 0.000308 0.000502 0.000834 0.001396 0.002451
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000118 0.000192 0.000312 0.000526 0.000907 0.001580 0.002903
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000179 0.000299 0.000519 0.000924 0.001666 0.003187
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000100 0.000171 0.000293 0.000522 0.000961 0.001793 0.003568
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000161 0.000281 0.000516 0.000977 0.001880 0.003882
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000155 0.000278 0.000524 0.001024 0.002041 0.004389
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000148 0.000273 0.000528 0.001066 0.002198 0.004924
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000135 0.000254 0.000504 0.001045 0.002220 0.005151
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000130 0.000249 0.000507 0.001082 0.002372 0.005720
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000129 0.000253 0.000530 0.001165 0.002645 0.006646
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000121 0.000242 0.000519 0.001170 0.002732 0.007106
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000111 0.000226 0.000493 0.001137 0.002724 0.007304
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000108 0.000223 0.000499 0.001182 0.002915 0.008106
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000108 0.000229 0.000523 0.001275 0.003246 0.009393
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000102 0.000221 0.000516 0.001287 0.003365 0.010059
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000099 0.000218 0.000520 0.001328 0.003570 0.011047